STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS OF FERTILITY IN VOLGOGRAD REGION
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Author(s): | Alpatov A. V., Rubinshtein E. Yu., |
| Number of journal: | 3(36) | Date: | August 2016 |
| Annotation: | The article presents the results of the study of urban and rural population fertility dynamics in Volgograd region. The features of impact of the economic crisis and the demographic policy of the Russian government on the fertility dynamics were examined. The comparative analysis of the total and cumulative fertility rate of the Volgograd region population and Russia’s population in the bulk was performed. The index method was used for analyzing dynamics of the total fertility rate. The special aspects of age-specific fertility rate distribution and women reproductive age structure were identified. A linear trend in total fertility rate for the Volgograd region population was constructed, on which basis the fertility forecast was drawn up to 2019. |
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| Keywords: | Volgograd region, demographic situation, fertility, total fertility rate, age-specific birth rates, fertility indices, Chow test, fertility forecasting, time series, trend. |
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| For citation: | Alpatov A. V., Rubinshteyn E. Yu. Statistical analysis of the dynamics of fertility in Volgograd region // Business. Education. Law. Bulletin of Volgograd Business Institute. 2016. № 3 (36). P. 41–49. |
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